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XRP drops below its 50-week EMA after failing to reclaim $1.52, while XRP ETFs post inflows

XRP slipped below its 50-week EMA after failing to reclaim $1.52, trading near $1.40, as ChartNerd flags a 2022-style base and SoSoValue data show XRP ETF inflows.

Why it matters

The 50-week average is the level ChartNerd had flagged beforehand, and XRP is trading below it after a failed reclaim at $1.52. ETF flows point away from the rest of the market, with Crypto News citing SoSoValue data showing XRP ETFs taking net inflows while BTC and ETH ETFs saw outflows, and Evernorth's completed merger with Armada II moving XRP held in its treasury into public markets. The CryptoSlate pieces argue that the headline supply figures people quote for XRP do not measure near-term buying, which limits what those numbers can show.

Where the sources disagree

ChartNerd's near-term direction for XRP

warned that XRP will continue falling in the coming months

The Crypto Basic, Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

said the pattern is not necessarily bearish and could be a positive sign

The Crypto Basic, Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

On September 29 he expected XRP to rise after a higher low formed, and by October 9 he was warning of continued decline.

Key facts

XRP fell below its 50-week exponential moving average after failing to break back above $1.52.

1.52 USDReported by The Crypto Basic

XRP was down 3.4% over the previous 24 hours.

3.4 %Reported by The Crypto Basic

XRP was down 6.12% over the previous week.

6.12 %Reported by The Crypto Basic

XRP broke below $1.50 while the broader crypto market was selling off.

1.5 USDReported by Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

SoSoValue data cited by AMBCrypto showed XRP ETFs taking net inflows while BTC and ETH ETFs recorded outflows.

Reported by Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

Evernorth completed its SPAC merger with Armada II, moving XRP held in its treasury and gross cash proceeds into the public markets.

Reported by Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

CryptoSlate argued in two explainers that tracked exchange balances and the stablecoin base on the XRP Ledger do not measure how much XRP is available for buyers.

Reported by CryptoSlate

What happened

The Crypto Basic reported, and Crypto News republished, an analysis in which ChartNerd said XRP was rejected at its 50-week exponential moving average after failing to break back above $1.52, with the token near $1.40, down 3.4% over 24 hours and 6.12% over the week. ChartNerd called the setup a 'higher low base' resembling 2022, warned that XRP will keep falling in the coming months, and said the outlook improves if the token moves back above the 50-week average. Two CryptoSlate explainers take a different angle, arguing that tracked exchange balances and the stablecoin base on the XRP Ledger do not show how much XRP is available to buy. A later Crypto News report, citing AMBCrypto and SoSoValue, says XRP ETFs took net inflows while BTC and ETH ETFs saw outflows, and points to Evernorth's completed SPAC merger with Armada II. ChartNerd's own account does not line up: on September 29 he expected XRP to rise after a higher low formed, and by October 9 he was warning of continued decline while also saying the pattern is not necessarily bearish.

How the story developed

  1. First report

    First report by CryptoSlate

    Why XRP’s 63 billion circulating tokens don’t tell buyers what’s for sale

    CryptoSlate

  2. Update

    CryptoSlate publishes two supply-side explainers arguing headline figures do not show XRP buying pressure

    One piece covers tokens held in exchange-attributed wallets and two fund disclosures, the other covers tracked stablecoins on the XRP Ledger.

    CryptoSlate

  3. Update

    ChartNerd says XRP has been rejected at the 50-week EMA after failing to reclaim $1.52

    XRP traded near $1.40, down 3.4% over 24 hours and 6.12% over the week, and ChartNerd described a 'higher low base' similar to 2022.

    The Crypto Basic

  4. Update

    Evernorth completes its SPAC merger with Armada II

    The merger brings XRP from Evernorth's treasury and gross cash proceeds into the public markets.

    Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

  5. Update

    SoSoValue data cited by AMBCrypto show XRP ETF inflows while BTC and ETH ETFs see outflows

    The same report notes XRP has broken below $1.50 during a broader risk-off move.

    Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)

How coverage built up

Independent sources over time, counted the way the consensus panel counts them: a republication of a wire story does not move the line.

8 Oct, 19:404 independent sources10 Oct, 22:19
  • 8 Oct 2026, 19:40 UTC: CryptoSlate — 1 independent source, 1 reports
  • 9 Oct 2026, 04:50 UTC: The Crypto Basic — 2 independent sources, 3 reports
  • 9 Oct 2026, 05:14 UTC: Crypto News (CryptoNews.net) — 3 independent sources, 4 reports
  • 10 Oct 2026, 22:19 UTC: Crypto News (CryptoNews.net) — 4 independent sources, 5 reports

Affected entities

Also mentioned: Ethereum, Binance, Coinbase, Tether USDt, Brazil

Original sources

PublisherReportRolePublished
CryptoSlate
Crypto media
Why XRP’s 63 billion circulating tokens don’t tell buyers what’s for saleOriginal
CryptoSlate
Crypto media
XRPL’s $1.34 billion stablecoin base doesn’t tell us how much XRP users needIndependent
The Crypto Basic
Crypto media
XRP Is Repeating 2022 Pattern After Rejection at 50-Week EMASyndicated
Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)
Aggregator
XRP Is Repeating 2022 Pattern After Rejection at 50-Week EMASyndicated
Crypto News (CryptoNews.net)
Aggregator
XRP price slips below $1.50 – Can ETF demand fuel a recovery?Syndicated