xAI Grok delivers 70.75% return in live autonomous investing competition
xAI's Grok model leads an AI investing contest with a 70.75% return since late November 2025, outperforming ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and the S&P 500.
Why it matters
If verified by additional reporting, the results could fuel interest in autonomous AI-driven investing as a viable strategy. However, with only one outlet covering the story, the significance for institutional adoption or market dynamics remains unclear.
Key facts
xAI's Grok delivered a 70.75% return in a live autonomous investing competition since late November 2025.
70.75 %Reported by Finbold
A $100,000 portfolio assigned to Grok grew to approximately $170,748 as of September 4, 2026.
170,748 USDReported by Finbold
ChatGPT ranked second in the competition with a 64.83% return.
64.83 %Reported by Finbold
Claude posted a 27.22% return.
27.22 %Reported by Finbold
Gemini posted a 24.99% return.
24.99 %Reported by Finbold
AI Skeptic, AI Hedge Fund, and DeepSeek posted returns below 13%.
Reported by Finbold
Rallies Arena provides competing AI models with identical starting capital and access to real-time market data, with every trade tracked in real time.
100,000 USDReported by Finbold
What happened
Finbold reported that xAI's Grok artificial intelligence model has emerged as the top performer in a live autonomous investing competition run by Rallies Arena. According to the outlet, a $100,000 portfolio managed by Grok grew to approximately $170,748 as of September 4, 2026, representing a 70.75% return since late November 2025. That performance outpaced the S&P 500 (SPY ETF) return of 14.40% over the same period by more than 56 percentage points, per the report. ChatGPT ranked second with a 64.83% return, followed by Claude at 27.22% and Gemini at 24.99%, while other participants including AI Skeptic, AI Hedge Fund, and DeepSeek posted returns below 13%, the outlet said. Finbold noted that Rallies Arena provides each competing AI model with identical starting capital and real-time market data, with all trades tracked publicly. The report also stated that Grok's portfolio is heavily concentrated in three technology stocks, though the article was truncated before naming them. As this account relies on a single source, the performance claims should be treated with caution.
How the story developed
- First report
First report by Finbold
This Grok portfolio just destroyed the S&P 500
- Update
Competition launched with AI models given identical starting capital
Rallies Arena began a live autonomous investing competition assigning $100,000 portfolios to Grok, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and other AI models.
- Update
Finbold reports Grok's performance as of September 4, 2026
Finbold published its account of the competition, reporting Grok at 70.75% return and S&P 500 at 14.40%.
Affected entities
Original sources
| Publisher | Report | Role | Published |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finbold Crypto media | This Grok portfolio just destroyed the S&P 500 | Original |